Global conflict risk rises: Trump’s Ukraine Proposal: A Blueprint for More War
US President Donald Trump’s seven-point proposal for ending the Ukraine conflict is not a peace plan, but rather a blueprint for more war. The proposal, which Trump has called his “final offer,” is a egregious apology of a peace deal that rewards Russian President Vladimir Putin for his blatant act of military aggression.
Rewarding Russian Aggression
The proposal allows Putin to keep nearly all the Ukrainian territory he has seized since launching his initial invasion of Ukraine in 2014, while giving the Ukrainians next to nothing in return. The most outrageous suggestion made in the proposal is that, in return for Russia halting hostilities along the current front lines, Washington would agree to de jure recognition of Russian control of Crimea.
Breach of International Law
This concession not only rewards Putin’s decade-long military effort to destroy Ukraine’s independence; it is a flagrant breach of one of the key pillars of the post-war international order, which decrees that the sovereign integrity of any nation is inviolable. If Russia is allowed to drive a coach and horses through such a fundamental premise of international law, then what is to stop China from seizing Taiwan, or Argentina the Falkland Islands?
Unpalatable Aspects of the Deal
Other aspects of Trump’s so-called “peace deal” are equally unpalatable to anyone who supports the principle of defending Ukrainian sovereignty from Russian aggression. Apart from requiring Kyiv to surrender its territory, the deal demands that Kyiv abandon its aspirations to join the Nato alliance. In return, an ad hoc collection of European countries will commit to providing a “robust security guarantee” to protect Ukraine from any future acts of Russian aggression.
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Lack of US Military Support
However, Trump’s deal makes no mention of the US providing any military support for such a force, which makes the proposition already look dead in the water. Trump is also offering Putin some important incentives for agreeing to the deal, such as the lifting of US sanctions that have been in place since 2014, and the offer of future economic cooperation in the energy and industrial sectors.
Threat to World Peace
It almost beggars belief that Trump, who took office vowing to end the Ukraine conflict in “24 hours,” could produce a document that is not just deeply flawed, but one that constitutes such a blatant threat to world peace. Steve Witkoff, Trump’s special envoy, apparently produced this mockery of a peace deal having had four hours of talks with Putin in Moscow last week.
European Leaders Need to Take Action
Given this administration’s open disdain for European concerns, European leaders need to take a leaf out of Ukraine’s book and acknowledge that the US can no longer be trusted to protect their interests. Judging by Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s initial response to Trump’s offer, Ukraine is likely to conclude that it is better to continue fighting than suffer the national humiliation of surrendering its territory to Russia.
Conclusion
The Ukrainian “peace deal” devised by Trump’s administration of mavericks should give European leaders all the persuasion they require to safeguard their own future security needs. Trump’s proposal is a recipe for disaster, and it’s time for European leaders to take action to protect their own interests.
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